Предмет. Экономическое сотрудничество России с крупнейшими странами. Цели. Выявить условия роста и развития российской экономики во взаимоотношениях с Китаем, США, Германией и Индией. Методология. Применен системный подход; использованы методы статистического, нейросетевого и кластерного анализа. Результаты. Выявлено основное условие роста российской экономики – превышение величины прямых инвестиций из США, Индии и Германии над инвестициями из Китая. Россия зависима от внешнего баланса Китая по товарам и услугам, а по темпам прироста военных расходов соизмерима с Германией и Индией. Выводы. Выявленные условия роста российской экономики позволят руководству страны формировать внешнеэкономическую политику на основе целесообразности.
Ключевые слова: военные расходы, инвестиции, налоги, сбережения, экономический контекст, экспорт
Список литературы:
Ren B., Li H., Shi J. et al. Identifying the Key Sectors and Paths of the Embodied Energy in BRICS Nations: a Weighted Multilayer Network Approach. Energy, 2022, vol. 239, part B. URL: Link
Rahman M.M. The Dynamic Nexus of Energy Consumption, International Trade and Economic Growth in BRICS and ASEAN Countries: A Panel Causality Test. Energy, 2021, vol. 229, no. 120679. URL: Link
Chen J., Xie Q., Shahbaz M. et al. The Fossil Energy Trade Relations Among BRICS Countries. Energy, 2021, vol. 217, no. 119383. URL: Link
Mensi W., Rehman M.U., Maitra D.et al. Oil, Natural Gas and BRICS Stock Markets: Evidence of Systemic Risks and Co-Movements in the Time-Frequency Domain. Resources Policy, 2021, vol. 72, no. 102062. URL: Link
Eleyan M.I.A., Çatık A.N., Balcılar M., Ballı E. Are Long-run Income and Price Elasticities of Oil Demand Time-varying? New Evidence from BRICS Countries. Energy, 2021, vol. 229, no. 120710. URL: Link
Erdogan S. Dynamic Nexus between Technological Innovation and Building Sector Carbon Emissions in the BRICS Countries. Journal of Environmental Management, 2021, vol. 293, no. 112780. URL: Link
Shen Z., Bai K., Hong T., Balezentis T. Evaluation of Carbon Shadow Price within a Non-parametric Meta-frontier Framework: The Case of OECD, ASEAN and BRICS. Applied Energy, 2021, vol. 299, no. 117275. URL: Link
Sun S., Huang C. Energy Structure Evaluation And Optimization in BRICS: a Dynamic Analysis Based on a Slack Based Measurement DEA with Undesirable Outputs. Energy, 2021, vol. 216, no. 119251. URL: Link
Hu G.-G. Is Knowledge Spillover from Human Capital Investment a Catalyst for Technological Innovation? The Curious Case of Fourth Industrial Revolution in BRICS Economies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2021, vol. 162, no. 120327. URL: Link
Wang C., Qiao C., Ahmed R.I., Kirikkaleli D. Institutional Quality, Bank Finance and Technological Innovation: A Way Forward for Fourth Industrial Revolution in BRICS Economies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2021, vol. 163, no. 120427. URL: Link
Furceri D., Loungani P., Ostry J.D., Pizzuto P. The Rise in Inequality after Pandemics: Can Fiscal Support Play a Mitigating Role? Industrial and Corporate Change, 2021, vol. 30, iss. 2, pp. 445–457. URL: Link
Stiglitz J.E., Guzman M.M. The Pandemic Economic Crisis, Precautionary Behavior, and Mobility Constraints: an Application of the Dynamic Disequilibrium Model with Randomness. Industrial and Corporate Change, 2021, vol. 30, iss. 2, pp. 467–497. URL: Link
Stiglitz J.E., Guzman M.M. Economic Fluctuations and Pseudo-wealth. Industrial and Corporate Change, 2021, vol. 30, iss. 2, pp. 297–315. URL: Link
McIver R.P., Kang S.H. Financial Crises and the Dynamics of the Spillovers between the U.S. and BRICS Stock Markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 2020, vol. 54, no. 101276. URL: Link
Huang Q., Wang X., Zhang S. The Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on the Stock Market and the Affecting Mechanisms: Evidence from BRICS Countries. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2021, vol. 56, no. 101340. URL: Link
Martins G.K., Skott P. Sources of Inflation and the Effects of Balanced Budgets and Inflation Targeting in Developing Economies. Industrial and Corporate Change, 2021, vol. 30, iss. 2, pp. 409–444. URL: Link
Klose J. Equilibrium Real Interest Rates for the BRICS Countries. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 2020, vol. 21, no. e00155. URL: Link
Qureshi F., Qureshi S., Shah S.S. et al. Further Evidence on Co-movement between Equity Funds and Business Cycle Variables in BRICS: A Wavelet Analysis. Borsa Istanbul Review, 2020, vol. 20, Supplement 1, pp. S93‒S102. URL: Link
Lin B., Su T. Does Oil Price Have Similar Effects on the Exchange Rates of BRICS? International Review of Financial Analysis, 2020, vol. 69, no. 101461. URL: Link
Hao L., Ahmad S., Chang H.-L., Umar M. Knowledge Spill-Over and Institutional Quality Role in Controlling Dutch Disease: A Case of BRICS Countries. Resources Policy, 2021, vol. 72, no. 102114. URL: Link
Brownstein N.C., Adolfsson A., Ackerman M. Descriptive Statistics and Visualization of Data from the R Datasets Package with Implications for Clusterability. Data in Brief, 2019, vol. 25, no. 104004. URL: Link
Urlacher B.R. Complexity, Causality, and Control in Statistical Modeling. American Behavioral Scientist, 2019, vol. 64, iss. 1, pp. 55–73. URL: Link
Adolfsson A., Ackerman M., Brownstein N.C. To Cluster, or Not to Cluster: an Analysis of Clusterability Methods. Pattern Recognition, 2019, vol. 88, pp. 13–26. URL: Link
Чернышева А.М. Экономическая политика стран Латинской Америки в условиях формирования многополярного мирового устройства // Национальные интересы: приоритеты и безопасность. 2020. Т. 16. Вып. 8. С. 1581–1596. URL: Link
Захаров В.К. Макрорегиональная интеграция, новый уровень мировой межгосударственной эксплуатации и возможности для России // Национальные интересы: приоритеты и безопасность. 2021. Т. 17. Вып. 7. С. 1208–1237. URL: Link
Морозов Ю.В. Перспективные направления развития ШОС в Евразии // Национальные интересы: приоритеты и безопасность. 2018. Т. 14. Вып. 1. С. 137–152. URL: Link